It is high likely that this year’s budget deficit in RF will exceed the pre-planned 3 trillion rubles (or 2% of GDP), and may amount, in UIF estimates, to 5-6 trillion rubles, unless, of course, some additional actions are taken i.e. ruble devaluation and/or tax increases.
UIFuture
Ramzan Kadyrov in 2023: less military and political ambitions, more distancing from Moscow
The head of Chechnya has noticeably lost interest in fighting in Donbas, instead he is strengthening his positions in the republic .
Read moreRamzan Kadyrov in 2023: less military and political ambitions, more distancing from Moscow
Russian Federation’s oil and gas revenues will fall by at least 25% in 2023
Starting from February 5, the EU embargo on the supply of petroleum products with price restrictions came into effect, and earlier, from December 5, similar measures regarding the supply of Russian crude oil came into force. The market of countries that have embargoed petroleum products accounted for 2/3 of all Russian diesel fuel and fuel oil exports.
Read moreRussian Federation’s oil and gas revenues will fall by at least 25% in 2023
Commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the Battle of Stalingrad: does Putin believe in the capture of Kyiv?
Using the past to justify the present has become widespread in Russia. It is especially true considering the victory of the Soviet Union in the “Great Patriotic War”, which is genuinely the only universal value of Russian society.
Why did Lavrov go to Africa?
The African vector of Russian foreign policy solves one big strategic task for Russia: to stall for time. The Kremlin understands perfectly well that the war with the West in Ukraine is a war of attrition.
Tariff petitions. Payments for housing and communal services have become the only “protest outlet” for the Russians
In January 2023, Russians received their first utility bills at new rates. Theoretically, they should not have increased by more than 9% (the maximum limit for a one-time increase).
How long will Yevgeny Prigozhin last?
The maximum mobilization potential of Prigozhin is about 100 thousand people (at least a third of these 100 thousand could potentially be “claimed by the Ministry of Defense”). With … Read more How long will Yevgeny Prigozhin last?
DOUBLE STANDARDS OF IGP&I AS AN ATTEMPT TO PROTECT PRO-RUSSIAN BUSINESS 
Since the beginning of the war, Ukraine has been trying to cut Russia off from excess profits, including from the sale of liquid fuels. Earlier, analysts of the Ukrainian … Read more DOUBLE STANDARDS OF IGP&I AS AN ATTEMPT TO PROTECT PRO-RUSSIAN BUSINESS 
Happy New Year, “Bonduelle”. Who’s next?
About five hundred Western companies that did not pick up the courage to stop operating in terrorist Russia, in the near future may reconsider their business strategies. The high-profile New Year’s scandal with “Bonduelle” showed that none of the scabbards of sanctioned restrictions can feel safe. Moreover, the vegetable connoisseur of the Russian army drew attention to all those who tried to “quietly” continue to make money on the blood of Ukrainians. What awaits those who put earnings above human life – figured out the Ukrainian Institute for the Future.
“Nomen illis legio”: how one of the most prominent financiers of terrorist Russia fools the authors of sanctions packages
Evidently, Russian business has adopted the well-known slogan: “Nomen illis legio.” The game of changing names, the greed of some Western partners, and their lack of understanding of the methods of making money allow the sanctioned Russian maritime giant “Sovcomflot” to bypass the sanctions restrictions for the tenth month in a row. The Ukrainian Institute of the Future Specialists analyzed the peculiarities of the “obvious and the unbelievable”.

