UIFuture 
Preparation for possible transformations in “Russia after Putin” includes minimizing the consequences of the current military adventure for the economy, international image and reputation of Russia.
Read moreAre the “Good Russians” to blame for Putin’s deeds?
How the “Kremlin towers” divided the information field
Read moreThe Russian Media Empire from the inside
The government is forging an “anti-Ukraine”. Changes in the Russian Federation are possible only after Putin’s departure.
The poisoning of Apta Alautdinov should be considered part of the internal political confrontation in Russia. Traditional elite groups and power structures are trying to restrain non-traditional and non-systemic groups, which have recently strengthened their positions in light of the war in Ukraine and aggressive war propaganda in the Russian Federation.
Read moreKremlin’s inside wars: why was Kadyrov’s close friend poisoned?
It is high likely that this year’s budget deficit in RF will exceed the pre-planned 3 trillion rubles (or 2% of GDP), and may amount, in UIF estimates, to 5-6 trillion rubles, unless, of course, some additional actions are taken i.e. ruble devaluation and/or tax increases.
Read moreHow long will Russian money last?
The head of Chechnya has noticeably lost interest in fighting in Donbas, instead he is strengthening his positions in the republic .
Read moreRamzan Kadyrov in 2023: less military and political ambitions, more distancing from Moscow
Starting from February 5, the EU embargo on the supply of petroleum products with price restrictions came into effect, and earlier, from December 5, similar measures regarding the supply of Russian crude oil came into force. The market of countries that have embargoed petroleum products accounted for 2/3 of all Russian diesel fuel and fuel oil exports.
Read moreRussian Federation’s oil and gas revenues will fall by at least 25% in 2023
Using the past to justify the present has become widespread in Russia. It is especially true considering the victory of the Soviet Union in the “Great Patriotic War”, which is genuinely the only universal value of Russian society.
The African vector of Russian foreign policy solves one big strategic task for Russia: to stall for time. The Kremlin understands perfectly well that the war with the West in Ukraine is a war of attrition.
Read moreWhy did Lavrov go to Africa?
In January 2023, Russians received their first utility bills at new rates. Theoretically, they should not have increased by more than 9% (the maximum limit for a one-time increase).