The NBU says that the rate of labor migration to Poland will decrease in 2019. They say the Polish economy will not keep growing at such a pace as it is doing it today.
Indeed, the forecasts on the Polish economy growth have changed – the pace may decrease. However, this does not mean that Ukrainians will return. The growth rate of labor migration to Poland will decrease. That is, there will be not + 60% annually, but, for example, + 35-40%. But is this really the case?
NBU proudly states: “probable decrease in the intensity of labor migration to this country will lead to a weakening of labor migration from Ukraine in the medium run.”
But in fact, the situation is different. Germany considerably simplifies the employment of migrants from other countries and plans to attract at least 1.2 million people in the near future.